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A |     "[O]usting Russia from the WTO would have a number of negative consequences, for Russia, of course, but also for other WTO countries, and even more so for all those countries that to date have been benefiting from the Russian WTO membership, particularly as regards the oil market and a number of industrial or consumer goods," says Sergio Rossi, professor of macroeconomics and monetary economics at the University of Fribourg, Switzerland.,Since its accession to the WTO, Russia has helped integrate Eastern and Asian countries into global trade and contributed to economic growth as well as firms’ profits, notably in those Western countries that imported a lot of Russian oil, iron, and steel, according to Rossi.,"The Russian participation in the WTO enlarged the spectrum of the latter so that it now covers all major economies around the world," the academic emphasizes. "On geopolitical grounds, it also helped counterbalance the US power, contributing to reducing the asymmetries and the monetary dominance of the US dollar at the global level. For the EU, Russia’s participation in the WTO gave rise to two major benefits. On the one hand, the EU member countries have been in a position to increase their exports to Russia, hence also the EU firms’ profits. On the other hand, these countries’ economies benefited from a huge reduction of their importing costs, as regards different trade barriers (tariffs and patents in particular).",The professor notes that Russia's impact on trade and investment within the framework of the WTO has been positive, given that it facilitated the expansion of foreign trade across the global economy, thereby creating jobs and investment opportunities for a number of Western countries.,Similarly, Russia's WTO membership has played a crucial role for the Global South as Moscow has often thrown its weight behind developing countries, highlights Dr. Anuradha Chenoy, professor of the Center for Russian and Central Asian Studies at Jawaharlal Nehru University.,"Russia has been a responsible member of the WTO," Chenoy stresses. "On many issues Russia sided with the countries of the Global South, because of rules like ‘Trade Related Intellectual Property Rights’ and patents were not in favor of developing countries. For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, India and South Africa proposed an exceptional and temporary waiver on COVID vaccines, which were under patent by Western pharmaceuticals. Many countries of the South backed India and South Africa’s demand. So did Russia. But the Western block did not allow the patent regime to be diluted and big corporate profits continued. Many people in the South could not get the vaccine as a consequence.",RussiaMoscow Calls for Joint Work on Resolving Trade Issues Within WTO to Solve Food Crisis21 May, 18:42 GMT,Russia's Ouster From WTO is Highly Unlikely,The Russian Federation has been a member of WTO since 22 August 2012. Prior to that, it had worked hard for 19 years to meet the organization's requirements. After the beginning of the special operation to demilitarize and de-Nazify Ukraine, Russia was stripped of its "most favored nation" status, with some Western nations calling for the removal of the country from the international entity. However, as Reuters explained back in March, "expelling Russia, which joined the WTO in 2012 after 19 years of negotiations, would be extremely difficult as there is no specific expulsion process.","Ousting Russia from the WTO is not possible under the current WTO Agreement, as it does not encompass such a possibility," says Rossi.,He points out that Russia could be expelled only if two-thirds of the 164 WTO member countries backed such a decision which is highly unlikely. Neither China nor many other countries, including BRICS members, will ever agree to expel Russia "in light of economic advantages these countries benefit from having Russia within the WTO," according to the academic.,For his part, Chenoy underscores that Russia's hypothetical expulsion could create a disturbing precedent which "would be harmful for global trade and the rules-based order and international law.",EconomyUS Attempts 'to Strangle and Cripple' Russian Economy With Sanctions Failed, Russian Ambassador Says19 August, 10:49 GMT,Meanwhile, Russian lawmakers have also weighed the pros and cons of Russia's WTO membership. In April, State Duma Speaker Vyacheslav Volodin instructed relevant chamber committees to study the advisability of Russia's presence in the organization. The Communist Party of the Russian Federation and Liberal Democratic Party of Russia advocated for the nation's withdrawal from the WTO, arguing that Russia's accession to the WTO has made the nation's enterprises less competitive than their Western peers and failed to shield the country from Western sanctions.,For his part, Minister of Economic Development Maxim Reshetnikov argued on May 5 that Russia's exit from the WTO would, in particular, deprive the country of the opportunity to develop new rules for global trade. In addition to that, the WTO still remains an important tool to support Russian exports, the minister wrote in a letter, obtained by Russian media outlet RBC.,Controversies pertaining to the WTO were also discussed by BRICS members during the group's 14th summit in June. The leaders of BRICS states agreed to pursue "the necessary WTO reform" to build an open world economy and called on all WTO members to avoid unilateral and protectionist measures that run counter to the spirit and rules of the WTO.,"This WTO reform is welcome," says Rossi. "This reform should include also an agreement to dispose of the actual international monetary disorder, which is the result of the US dollar dominance that allows the United States to record enormous ‘trade deficits without tears,’ as the French economist Jacques Rueff noticed in the 1950s – that is, shortly after the 1944 Bretton Woods agreements, which put the US dollar at the center of the current international monetary regime. Time has come to get rid of this monetary disorder, which is a factor of financial instability and crises as well as of geopolitical turmoil across the global economy.",RussiaGlobal Power Shifting Away From West, While BRICS Expanding & Increasing Legitimacy14 July, 16:45 GMT,How West Has Shot Itself in the Foot,Meanwhile, the decision of the US, the European Union, Japan, and Canada to strip Russia of its "most favored nation" trade status will have a long-term negative impact on the global economy, according to Rossi.,"The global economy will suffer from this decision, because there will be an increase in the costs of foreign trade for all countries involved," the academic forecasts. "For instance, importing Russian oil and iron in the EU will cost more, as the importing firms will have to pay higher tariffs, which they will transfer to the so-called ‘global value chain’ through a higher mark-up of their own production costs.",As a result, one might expect "a mushroom growth of consumer prices, which – as we can observe now – implies a number of negative consequences for all stakeholders, particularly for the poor and the middle class, but also for small as well as medium-sized firms in Western countries," Rossi notes.,Europe is struggling to tame galloping inflation, which has been further accelerated by the anti-Russia energy embargo. The annual inflation rate in the EU climbed to a record high of 9.8% in July, according to Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. Likewise, inflation among the Eurozone countries hit a new high of 8.9%. The lowest annual rates were registered in France, Malta (both 6.8%) and Finland (8.0%), while the highest annual rates were recorded in Estonia (23.2%), Latvia (21.3%), and Lithuania (20.9%).,For its part, Russia won't be affected as dramatically as the West, as it is increasingly turning to the East and South, which can be bigger beneficiaries of trade with Russia, who is a prominent supplier of hydrocarbons, commodities, wheat, etc., according to Chenoy. Similarly, Russia's development within the BRICS framework is promising to be beneficial for the country and its partners.,"Countries of the BRICS together have a bigger GDP combined now than the G7 countries," Chenoy notes. "Trade in national currencies, new transport corridors can help the BRICS grow even further."。    青甘大环线躺在我的「人生旅行清单」快三年了。

B | 每次刷到敦煌日落、张掖丹霞,都想立刻订机票,但真到了要出发的时候就犹豫了。西北的风沙、起早贪黑的自驾、不知道干不干净的住宿,甚至路上找个厕所都费劲,出发的心就又缩回去了。风景美是真美,但旅途苦也是真的苦。这种“想去又不敢去”的纠结,肯定不止我一个人。但最近,参加完华住会在上海举行的「华住会给你出行的勇气」第二季带你环游“青甘大环线”发车仪式,我又心动了,还没结束就在看机票了。    图注:发车仪式现场     仪式现场,一曲《幸福的牧马人》西北民乐直接把我“传送”到了大西北——盐湖、草原、奔跑的野马……自由的风似乎已经扑面而来。几位来自青海藏区的卓玛跳起欢快的藏族舞蹈,裙摆旋转之间,恍惚间我好像被拽到了青海湖畔。    图注:发车仪式现场     “这房车能预订吗?”想必不只有我一个人想住进现场的三辆“样板间房车”。车身就是移动的酒店体验舱,全季、汉庭把房间直接搬进了车里,桔子还带来了我很爱的“桔子泰迪熊”和健康早餐区,那刻想跟着桔子泰迪去旅行的心达到了顶峰。

C |     而现场“洗好澡”、“睡好觉”、“自助洗烘”等装置,瞬间治愈来我对青甘线的出行焦虑,人狠话不多,精准戳中了我路上最担心的痛点。    图注:发车仪式现场     然后我突然想通了:纠结了三年不就是怕去了之后住不好、睡不好、吃不好吗?     现在华住会直接把青甘线上那些让人发怵的痛点解决了,那还犹豫什么?、     1、最美的风景,藏着“最糟”的住宿?     网上一直有个说法挺火的——“去青甘线旅游的人嘴都太严了”。    意思是你刷朋友圈、小红书,去青甘大环线的人分享的都是天空之镜、鸣沙山星空,但没人告诉你那些风光大片背后:凌晨三点被硬床板硌醒、热水忽冷忽热的现实版“囧途”。    风景发出来了,苦自己咽下去了。

D |     图注:网友分享     迈点发现,青甘线虽火,但沿线住宿还停留在比较初期的阶段。

E | 以敦煌为例,全市862家旅游住宿单位中,连锁品牌门店仅60余家,连锁化率约6%,远低于全国平均水平;张掖673家住宿单位中,连锁品牌约59家,连锁化率不足9%。    图注:网友分享     再加上西北地广人稀,城市之间动辄几百公里,住宿选择又有限,一到旺季,房源紧张,供需失衡下沿线酒店价格飙升,但服务却完全跟不上。    因此,花五星的钱住招待所,在青甘线的旺季并不夸张。    住宿一旦不确定了,整趟行程就更不确定了,能不能洗个靠谱的澡、睡个不被干到起皮的觉,这些不确定性叠加在一起,出发可太需要勇气了。    2、当最大的变量被解决,安全感就有了     旅行最劝退的从来不是路程远,而是全程充满未知。既然不确定性是最大的成本,那就把最大的变量先解决掉,华住会这次做的就是这样一件事。    三辆房车将从上海出发,一路开到西宁,全程4268公里,经停青海湖、敦煌、张掖、西宁。

F |     图注:发车仪式现场     房车只是一个关注点,华住会真正想让我们知道的,是华住会的酒店已全线布局青甘,西宁、格尔木、大柴旦、德令哈、果洛玛、玉树、敦煌、张掖……你向往的大西北,都有华住会在。    海拔2800米以上的酒店配备供氧设备或弥散式供氧客房,24小时恒温恒压热水洗去旅途疲惫,客房加湿器对付西北的干,高品质早餐为早起赶路补能,24小时免费洗衣房解决换洗焦虑,大堂应急供水和卫生间为紧急时刻解忧。    图注:桔子酒店弥散式供氧客房     听起来都是小事。    但走过青甘线的人懂,在那样的环境里洗个稳定的热水澡、睡个不干到起皮的觉、吃上热乎营养的早饭,是真爽。    更关键的是,这套解法覆盖很广。    打开华住会APP搜沿线城市,全季格尔木江源路火车站酒店、桔子敦煌沙州夜市酒店、汉庭张掖西站酒店、西宁海湖新区城际酒店……华住会旗下30+品牌、13000+酒店已在全国织成一张密集的网,青甘大环线也被兜在里面。    沿线的每一个节点,都是熟悉的品牌,熟悉的客房,熟悉的味道。在陌生环境里,这份“熟悉感”本身就是安全感。

G |     这里还有一个只有连锁酒店才讲得通的商业逻辑,在这条靠旺季吃饭的大环线上,单体酒店是孤岛,所以它们旺季涨价赚一笔,淡季硬扛,扛不住就降标准。    但华住会算的不是单店账,它需要的是当一个会员沿着青甘线一路走下来,每到一个城市,都有一家华住酒店在等着他。

H |     图注:汉庭敦煌沙洲夜市敦湖花园酒店     华住会不是在“卖青甘线的房间”,是在“卖一趟趟确定性的旅程”,当确定性不再是承诺而是事实,旅行的心态就变了。

I |     你不再需要为每一个“万一”提前焦虑内耗,而是只需要考虑“明天去哪里看日出日落”。    3、不只是一份“勇气”,是一整条出行链的“底气”     住宿解决了,但住宿只是出行链上的一个环节。    你怕住不好,同样也怕飞不到、怕没车开、怕路上没东西吃,这些不确定性叠加在一起,同样很劝退。

J |     华住会显然很明白这件事。    它拉上了东方航空、滴滴、乐道汽车、一嗨租车联合打造“华住会给你出行的勇气福利嘉年华”为3亿+华住会会员送出旅程权益,包括机票立减券、充电满减券、租车车型升级券、滴滴福利礼包等。

K | 你飞过去的航班、前往酒店打的车、到了当地租的车、路上充电的新能源车……整条出行链上的关键节点,华住会都帮你兜住了。    看着是华住会这次把格局打开了——它意识到,阻止人们出发的从来不只是“住不好”,而是整条出行链上所有不确定性的叠加,所以它找来了能解决这些问题的伙伴,打包成了一套“出行确定性方案”。

L |     但背后相当于是把原来的酒店会员变成了“旅程会员”,让权益从一张床扩展到了一整段旅程,这是会员经济往深里走的一种打法,即住宿是入口,出行链是延伸,最后黏住的是用户整段旅程的消费决策。    对华住会来说,更能把会员价值做厚,而对3亿+会员来说,手里的会员卡从“订房打折”变成了“出行通行证”,则是权益结构的超级升级。

M |     4、出发这件事,被重新定义了     一个人敢不敢出发,很大程度上取决于他对未知的容忍度有多高。    有网友在网上发帖说,现在去边远地区旅行,有华住会就住华住会,有全季就住全季。网友留言问为啥,网友回复就两个字:安心。    确实,青甘大环线很美,新疆西藏很美,最近交通部发文要把中国沿边沿海串联成的“黄金大外环”更美,环国自驾游直接从梦想照进现实。    图注:华住会给你出行的勇气现场房车     路是通了,人是去远方了,但远方最缺踏实觉,说走就走的冒险确实浪漫,但谁来为住宿兜底?     只有华住还在“织网”,它把酒店铺到了最需确定性的远方,无论是西北腹地还是边远地区,它也把稳定的服务带给了最需确定性的国民,有热水好觉等着,出发再不用权衡利弊。

N |     这就是中国头部酒店集团应由的担当,让你知道,只要在中国地图所及之处,有了华住会给的出行勇气,都能直接出发。返回,查看更多。

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Published on:05:27:43